Publications and working papers
Working papers (comments welcome)
Replication, varying effects, and the reliability of the scientific literature
Joe Bak-Coleman, Richard Mann, et al.. link
Rationalizing risk aversion in science
KG and Carl T. Bergstrom. link
2024
Developing practical measures of the price of pesticide resistance: A flexible computational framework with global sensitivity analysis
Chanheung Cho, Zachary Brown, KG, and David Tregeagle. Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, 1-16. link
2022
Beached Sargassum alters sand thermal environments: Implications for incubating sea turtle eggs
Andrew S. Maurer, KG, and Seth P. Stapleton. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology, 546: 151650. link
2021
Why ex post peer review encourages high-risk research while ex ante review discourages it
KG and Carl T. Bergstrom. PNAS, 118(51):e2111615118. link preprint code
Resonance in physiologically structured population models
KG and André M. de Roos. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 83:86. link preprint
Stony coral populations are more sensitive to changes in vital rates in disturbed environments
Tessa E. Hall, Andrew S. Freedman, et al. Ecological Applications 31(2):e02234. link
2020
Disturbances drive changes in coral community assemblages and coral calcification capacity
Travis A. Courtney, Brian B. Barnes, et al. Ecosphere 11(4):e03066. link pdf
MIMIX: A Bayesian mixed-effects model for microbiome data from designed experiments
Neal S. Grantham, Yawen Guan, et al. JASA. 115: 599 – 609. link
2019
Contest models highlight inherent inefficiencies of scientific funding competitions
KG and Carl T. Bergstrom. PLoS Biology 17(1):e3000065. link
Drivers of elevational richness peaks, evaluated for trees in the east Himalaya
Suresh K. Rana, KG, and Trevor D. Price. Ecology 100(1): e02548. link
2018
Evolution of host preference in anthropophilic mosquitoes
A framework for identifying and characterising coral-reef “oases” against a backdrop of degradation
James R. Guest, Peter J. Edmunds, et al. Journal of Applied Ecology 55: 2865 – 2875. link
2016
Publication bias and the canonization of false facts
Silas Boye Nissen, Tali Magidson, et al. eLife, 5: e21451. link pdf
Genetic engineering to eradicate invasive mice on islands: Modeling the efficiency and ecological impacts
A general, synthetic model for predicting biodiversity gradients from environmental geometry
KG and Andrew Snyder-Beattie. American Naturalist 188: E85–E97. link
Predicting pre-planting risk of Stagnospora nodorum blotch of winter wheat using machine learning models
Lucky K. Mehra, Christina Cowger, et al. Frontiers in Plant Science 7: 390. link
Integrating the effects of ocean acidification across functional scales on tropical coral reefs
Peter J. Edmunds, Steeve Comeau, et al. BioScience 66: 350–362. link
Environmental influences on mosquito foraging and integrated vector management can delay the evolution of behavioral resistance
Chris Stone, Nakul Chitnis, and KG. Evolutionary Applications 9: 502–517. link pdf
Within-host niche differences and fitness tradeoffs promote coexistence of plant viruses
Erin A. Mordecai, KG, and Charles E. Mitchell. American Naturalist 187: E13 – E26. link
Biodiversity and productivity entwined (News & Views)
KG. Nature 529: 293–294. link
2015
Controls over native perennial grass exclusion and persistence in California grasslands invaded by annuals
Erin A. Mordecai, Nicole A. Molinari, et al. Ecology 96: 2643–2652. link
The differential effects of increasing frequency and magnitude of extreme events on coral populations
Nicholas S. Fabina, Marissa L. Baskett, and KG. Ecological Applications 25: 1534–1545. link
Stability of Caribbean coral communities quantified by long-term monitoring and autoregression models
Gross, K., and P.J. Edmunds. 2015. Stability of Caribbean coral communities quantified by long-term monitoring and autoregression models. Ecology 96: 1812–1822. link
Do growing degree days predict phenology across butterfly species?
Cayton, H., N. Haddad, K. Gross, S.E. Diamond, and L. Ries. 2015. Do growing degree days predict phenology across butterfly species? Ecology 96: 1473–1479. link
Species richness, but not phylogenetic diversity, influences community biomass production and temporal stability in a re-examination of 16 grassland biodiversity studies
Venail, P., K. Gross, T.H. Oakley, A. Narwani, E. Allan, P. Flombaum, F. Isbell, J. Joshi, P.B. Reich, D. Tilman, J. van Ruijven, and B.J. Cardinale. 2015. Species richness, but not phylogenetic diversity, influences community biomass production and temporal stability in a re-examination of 16 grassland biodiversity studies. Functional Ecology 29: 615–626. link
The community ecology of pathogens: coinfection, coexistence, and community composition
Seabloom, E., E. Borer, K. Gross, A. Kendig, C. Lacroix, C. Mitchell, E. Mordecai, and A. Power. 2015. The community ecology of pathogens: coinfection, coexistence, and community composition. Ecology Letters 18: 401–415. link
Evaluating deer hunters’ support for hunting deer with dogs
Cook, M.A., M.N. Peterson, M.C. Chitwood, D. Palmer, C.S. Deperno, and K. Gross. 2015. Evaluating deer hunters’ support for hunting deer with dogs. Human Dimensions of Wildlife, 20: 174–181. link
2014
Persistence and change in community composition of reef corals through present, past and future climates
Edmunds, P.J., M. Adjeroud, and 21 others. 2014. Persistence and change in community composition of reef corals through present, past and future climates. PLoS ONE 9(10): e107525. link
Response diversity can increase ecological resilience to disturbance in coral reefs
Baskett, M.L, N.S. Fabina, and K. Gross. 2014. Response diversity can increase ecological resilience to disturbance in coral reefs. American Naturalist 184(2): E16 – E31. link
Proportional accumulation of yolk proteins derived from multiple vitellogenins is precisely regulated during vitellogenesis in striped bass (Morone saxatilis)
Williams, V.N., B.J. Reading, H. Amano, N. Hiramatsu, J. Schilling, S.A. Salger, T.I. Williams, K. Gross, and C.V. Sullivan. 2014. Proportional accumulation of yolk proteins derived from multiple vitellogenins is precisely regulated during vitellogenesis in striped bass (Morone saxatilis). Journal of Experimental Zoology Part A: Ecological Genetics and Physiology, 321A: 301–315. link
Overcompensation of circulating and local insulin-like growth factor-I during catch-up growth in hybrid striped bass (Morone chrysops $\times$ Morone saxatilis) following temperature and feeding manipulations
Picha, M.E., P.R. Biga, N. Galt, A. S. McGinty, K. Gross, V.S. Hedgpeth, T.D. Siopes, and R.J. Borski. 2014. Overcompensation of circulating and local insulin-like growth factor-I during catch-up growth in hybrid striped bass (Morone chrysops $\times$ Morone saxatilis) following temperature and feeding manipulations. Aquaculture 428-429: 174-183. link
Species richness and the temporal stability of biomass production: A new analysis of recent biodiversity experiments
Gross, K., B. J . Cardinale, J. W. Fox, A. Gonzalez, M. Loreau, H. W. Polley, P. B. Reich and J. van Ruijven. 2014. Species richness and the temporal stability of biomass production: A new analysis of recent biodiversity experiments. American Naturalist 183: 1-12. link
Inference for finite-sample trajectories in dynamic multi-state site-occupancy models using hidden Markov model smoothing
Fiske, I.J., J.A. Royle and K. Gross. 2014. Inference for finite-sample trajectories in dynamic multi-state site-occupancy models using hidden Markov model smoothing. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 21: 313–328. link
2013
Biodiversity simultaneously enhances the production and stability of community biomass in experimental systems of primary producers, but the effects are independent
Cardinale, B.J., K. Gross, K. Fritschie, P. Flombaum, J. Fox, C. Rixen, J. van Ruijven, P. Reich, M. Scherer-Lorenzen, and B.J. Wilsey. 2013. Biodiversity simultaneously enhances the production and stability of community biomass in experimental systems of primary producers, but the effects are independent. Ecology 94: 1697-1707. link
2012
Statistics in ecology (book chapter)
Gross, K. 2012. Statistics in ecology. pp. 691-698 in Encyclopedia of Theoretical Ecology. A. Hastings and L. J. Gross, eds. University of California Press, Berkeley, CA.
Short-term response of small mammals following oak regeneration silviculture treatments
Raybuck, A.L., C. E. Moorman, C.H. Greenberg, C.S. DePerno, K. Gross, D. M. Simon and G. S. Warburton. 2012. Short-term response of small mammals following oak regeneration silviculture treatments. Forest Ecology & Management 274: 10-16. link
Redispersal of seeds by a keystone ant augments the spread of common wildflowers
Canner, J.E., R.R. Dunn, I. Giladi, and K. Gross. 2012. Redispersal of seeds by a keystone ant augments the spread of common wildflowers. Acta Oecologica 40:31-39. link
2011
Ecoinformatics for integrated pest management: expanding the applied insect ecologist’s tool-kit
Rosenheim, J.A., S. Parsa, A. A. Forbes, W. A. Krimmel, Y. H. Law, M. Segoli, M. Segoli, F. J. Sivakoff, T. Zaviezo, and K. Gross. 2011. Ecoinformatics for integrated pest management: expanding the applied insect ecologist’s tool-kit. Journal of Economic Entomology 104: 331-342. link
Quantifying secondary pest outbreaks in cotton and their monetary cost with causal inference statistics
Gross, K. and J. A. Rosenheim. 2011. Quantifying secondary pest outbreaks in cotton and their monetary cost with causal inference statistics. Ecological Applications 21: 2770-2780. link
Plant diversity and the stability of foodwebs
Haddad, N.M., G.M. Crutsinger, K. Gross, J. Haarstad, and D. Tilman. 2011. Plant diversity and the stability of foodwebs. Ecology Letters 14:42-46. link
2010
An optimal and near-optimal strategy to selecting individuals for transfer in captive breeding programs
Allen, S.D., Y. Fathi, K. Gross, and M. Mace. 2010. An optimal and near-optimal strategy to selecting individuals for transfer in captive breeding programs. Biological Conservation 143: 2858-2863. link
Canopy and litter and assemblages share similar climate-species density relationships
Weiser, M.D., N. J. Sanders, and 23 others. 2010. Canopy and litter and assemblages share similar climate-species density relationships. Biology Letters 6: 769-772. link
Cover preference of the Carolina madtom (Notorus furiosus), an imperiled, endemic southeastern stream fish
Midway, S., D.D. Aday, T.J. Kwak, and K. Gross. 2010. Cover preference of the Carolina madtom (Notorus furiosus), an imperiled, endemic southeastern stream fish. Journal of Freshwater Ecology 25: 151-154. link
2009
Plant species loss decreases arthropod diversity and shifts trophic structure
Haddad, N.M., G.M. Crutsinger, K. Gross, J. Haarstad, J. M.H. Knops, and D. Tilman. 2009. Plant species loss decreases arthropod diversity and shifts trophic structure. Ecology Letters 12: 1029-1039. link
Separating the influence of resource “availability” from resource “imbalance” on productivity-diversity relationships
Cardinale, B.J., H. Hillebrand, W. S. Harpole, K. Gross, and R. Ptacnik. 2009. Separating the influence of resource “availability” from resource “imbalance” on productivity-diversity relationships. Ecology Letters 12: 475-487. link
Does diversity drive productivity or vice versa? A test of the multivariate productivity-diversity hypothesis in streams
Cardinale, B. J., D. Bennett, C. Nelson, and K. Gross. 2009. Does diversity drive productivity or vice versa? A test of the multivariate productivity-diversity hypothesis in streams. Ecology 90:1227-1241. link
2008
Positive interactions among competitors can produce species-rich communities
Gross, K. 2008. Positive interactions among competitors can produce species-rich communities. Ecology Letters 11: 929-936. link
Trophic and fishery interactions between Pacific hake and rockfish: effect on rockfish population rebuilding times
Harvey, C. J., K. Gross, V. H. Simon, and J. Hastie. 2008. Trophic and fishery interactions between Pacific hake and rockfish: effect on rockfish population rebuilding times. Marine Ecology Progress Series 365: 165-176. link
Determining optimal population monitoring for rare butterfiles
Haddad, N. M., B. Hudgens, C. Damiani, K. Gross, D. Kuefler, and K. Pollock. 2008. Determining optimal population monitoring for rare butterfiles. Conservation Biology 22: 929-940. link
Fusing spatial resource heterogeneity with a competition-colonization trade-off in model communities
Gross, K. 2008. Fusing spatial resource heterogeneity with a competition-colonization trade-off in model communities. Theoretical Ecology 1: 65-75. link
2007
Simultaneous effects of food limitation and inducible resistance on herbivore population dynamics
Abbott, K.C., W. F. Morris, and K. Gross. 2008. Simultaneous effects of food limitation and inducible resistance on herbivore population dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology 73:63-78. link
Does species richness drive community productivity or vice versa? Reconciling historical and contemporary paradigms in competitive communities
Gross, K., and B. J. Cardinale. 2007. Does species richness drive community productivity or vice versa? Reconciling historical and contemporary paradigms in competitive communities. American Naturalist 170: 207-220. link
Robustness and uncertainty in estimates of butterfly abundance from transect counts
Gross, K., E. J. Kalendra, B. R. Hudgens, and N. M. Haddad. 2007. Robustness and uncertainty in estimates of butterfly abundance from transect counts. Population Ecology 49: 191-200. link
2006
Modeling vital rates improves estimation of population projection matrices
Gross, K., W .F. Morris, M. S. Wolosin, and D. F. Doak. 2006. Modeling vital rates improves estimation of population projection matrices. Population Ecology 48: 79-89. link
Effects of chronic avian malaria (Plasmodium relictum) infection on the reproductive success of Hawaii Amakihi (Hemignathus virens)
Kilpatrick, A.M., D. LaPointe, C.T. Atkinson, B.L. Woodworth, J.K. Lease, M.E. Reiter, and K. Gross. 2006. Effects of chronic avian malaria (Plasmodium relictum) infection on the reproductive success of Hawaii Amakihi (Hemignathus virens). Auk 123: 764-774. link
2005
The functional consequences of random versus ordered species extinctions
Gross, K., and B. J. Cardinale. 2005. The functional consequences of random versus ordered species extinctions. Ecology Letters 8: 409-418. link
Understanding and predicting the effects of sparse data on demographic analyses
Doak, D.F., K. Gross, and W.F. Morris. 2005. Understanding and predicting the effects of sparse data on demographic analyses. Ecology 86: 1154-1163. link
Estimating fluctuating vital rates from time-series data: a case study of aphid biocontrol
Gross, K., A. R. Ives, and E. V. Nordheim. 2005. Estimating fluctuating vital rates from time-series data: a case study of aphid biocontrol. Ecology 86:740-752. link
2004
Prevalence of active Clostridium botulinum type C in the gastrointestinal tracts of tilapia (Oreochromis mossambicus) in the Salton Sea
Nol, P., T. E. Rocke, K. Gross, and T. M. Yuill. 2004. Prevalence of active Clostridium botulinum type C in the gastrointestinal tracts of tilapia (Oreochromis mossambicus) in the Salton Sea. Journal of Wildlife Diseases 40:414-419. link
2003
Biodiversity and biocontrol: emergent impacts of a multi-enemy assemblage on pest suppression and crop yield in an agroecosystem
Cardinale, B. J., A. R. Ives, C. T. Harvey, and K. Gross. 2003. Biodiversity and biocontrol: emergent impacts of a multi-enemy assemblage on pest suppression and crop yield in an agroecosystem. Ecology Letters 6: 857-865. link
Morphological analysis of cryptic species in the Acanthocyclop syemalis species complex
Dodson, S. I., A. Z. Grishanin, K. Gross, and G. A. Wyngaard. 2003. Morphological analysis of cryptic species in the Acanthocyclop syemalis species complex. Hydrobiologia 500:131-143. link
A demographic study of deer browsing impacts on Trillium grandiflorum
Rooney, T. P., and K. Gross. 2003. A demographic study of deer browsing impacts on Trillium grandiflorum. Plant Ecology 168: 267-277. link
2002
Bayesian estimation of a demographic matrix model from stage-frequency data
Gross, K., B. A. Craig, and W. D. Hutchison. 2002. Bayesian estimation of a demographic matrix model from stage-frequency data. Ecology 83: 3285-3298. link
Efficient data collection for estimating growth rates of structured populations
Gross, K. 2002. Efficient data collection for estimating growth rates of structured populations. Ecology 83:1762-1767. link
2000
Periodic mortality events in predator-prey systems
Ives, A. R., K. Gross, and V. A. A. Jansen. 2000. Periodic mortality events in predator-prey systems. Ecology 81: 3330-3340. link
Stability and species richness in complex communities
Ives, A. R., J. L. Klug, and K. Gross. 2000. Stability and species richness in complex communities. Ecology Letters 3:399-411. link
Spatially aggregated parasitism on pea aphids, Acyrthosiphon pisum, caused by random foraging behavior of the parasitoid Aphidius ervi
Olson, A., A. R. Ives, and K. Gross. 2000. Spatially aggregated parasitism on pea aphids, Acyrthosiphon pisum, caused by random foraging behavior of the parasitoid Aphidius ervi. Oikos 91:66-76. link
Induced resistance to Mexican bean beetles in soybean: variation among genotypes and lack of correlation with constitutive resistance
Underwood, N., W. Morris, K. Gross, and J. R. Lockwood III. 2000. Induced resistance to Mexican bean beetles in soybean: variation among genotypes and lack of correlation with constitutive resistance. Oecologia 122:83-89. link
1999
Inferring host-parasitoid stability from patterns of parasitism among patches
Gross, K. and A. R. Ives. 1999. Inferring host-parasitoid stability from patterns of parasitism among patches. American Naturalist 154:489-496. link
Stability and variability in competitive communities
Ives, A. R., K. Gross, and J. L. Klug. 1999. Stability and variability in competitive communities. Science 286:542-544. link
1998
Modeling controlled burning and trampling reduction for conservation of Hudsonia montana
Gross, K., J.R. Lockwood III, C.C. Frost, and W.F. Morris. 1998. Modeling controlled burning and trampling reduction for conservation of Hudsonia montana. Conservation Biology 12:1291-1301. link